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Understand the Pros and Cons of an Online Retirement Calculator

Posted on November 29, 2009 by bobrichards

The purpose of every retirement calculator would be to tell you one or both of these two pieces of information:
1. how much you need to save money (generally per month) to be able to retire or
2. how big of a nest egg you must have in order to retire

The retirement calculator does these types of estimations by accounting for the retirement investments you currently have:

* financial savings in a retirement plan such as 401k or IRA
* month-to-month income you'll obtain from a pension or from social security or retirement deferred compensation plan
* non-retirement assets that you've: shares, bonds, mutual funds, notes, etc
* usable equity in your house which you could have available should you plan to trade down and release equity for investment or take a reverse mortgage

The retirement calculator also takes into account the age at which you wish to retire as well as your approximated life expectancy. While it may look like the most significant problem is the monetary resources you bring into your retirement that will influence your retirement comfort, it is in fact not these monetary elements. The biggest impactors of your retirement achievement are your retirement age and also the number of years you invest in retirement. Therefore, when utilizing a retirement calculator, we suggest you run the situation a couple of times using various life expectancies and also observe what takes place when you modify your retirement age from say age 64 to age sixty six. You might be extremely amazed at the difference you see.

The best retirement calculators are often NOT those discovered on-line. The most suitable ones are programs which you purchase (not extremely expensive) as they allow for much more advanced evaluation. For instance, while the free on-line retirement calculator will provide you with an estimate of the amount you'll need to conserve or the nest egg you need in order to meet your retirement earnings objectives, the bought retirement calculators often use Monte Carlo simulations to account for multiple future situations. Unlike the free on-line retirement calculator that create One average result, Monte Carlo simulations display a range of probable outcomes with their probabilities. You may thus see the possibility of a specific scenario occurring.

Note that any retirement calculator has disadvantages simply because it should depend on suppositions such as:

1. Anticipated yearly returns for the resource classes you choose (e.g. stocks, bonds, and so on). Various retirement calculators ask you for these estimates while others have built in assumptions. Either way, when the assumption is that shares generate a 10% return over the next 30 years and they create an 8% return, you retirement might not go as planned.
2. Anticipated suppositions about asset class unpredictability and correlations with other classes might not go as assumed. For example, even if shares are assumed to create 10% yearly returns over your retirement and they do, if the stocks lose 8% for each of the first three years of one's retirement, your retirement goals will nonetheless not be accomplished simply because the pattern or sequence of returns has a substantial impact on your retirement estimations.
3. Nobody knows what income tax rates is going to be. When you make your suppositions, it is best to assume that rates will probably be higher in the future (how else may the government close the deficit)?
4. Nobody knows what the inflation rate is going to be. Strongly associated to this is the worth of the US dollar and most retirement calculators do not account for that. If you plan to travel abroad in retirement and also the US dollar is worth 20% less, then it means your vacation costs abroad will cost you 25% more. The value of the dollar plus the influence of domestic inflation are 2 other uncertainties that a retirement calculator may not account for or might have to rely on estimates that prove inaccurate.

Before you come to the conclusion that using a retirement calculator is a waste of time, we urge you to reconsider.

By going through the exercise and considering the elements and seeing how the numerous retirement variables interact, any retirement calculator will give you a far better understanding of reality for your retirement objectives.

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    Bob Richards
    Editor | Involved in Various Marketing Positions within the Financial Services Industry

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